AEI writes:
Here about income inequality and if anything should be done about
it.
Once again education and prosperity go hand in hand.
And that the general feeling in the public is that any attempt to
redistribute makes little sense.
If you were to redistribute wealth how would you do
it?
But the mere existence of income inequality tells us little about
what, if anything, should be done about it. First, we must answer
some key questions. Who constitutes the prosperous and the poor? Why has
inequality increased? Does an unequal income distribution deny poor
people the chance to buy what they want? And perhaps most important: How
do Americans feel about inequality?
To answer these questions, it is not enough to take a snapshot of
our incomes; we must instead have a motion picture of them and of how
people move in and out of various income groups over time.
The “rich” in America are not a monolithic, unchanging class. A
study by Thomas A. Garrett, economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
Louis, found that less than half of people in the top 1 percent in 1996
were still there in 2005. Such mobility is hardly surprising: A business
school student, for instance, may have little money and high debts, but
nine years later he or she could be earning a big Wall Street salary and
bonus.
Mobility is not limited to the top-earning households. A study by
economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis found that nearly
half of the families in the lowest fifth of income earners in 2001 had
moved up within six years. Over the same period, more than a third of
those in the highest fifth of income-earners had moved down.
Certainly, there are people such as Warren Buffett and Bill Gates who are ensconced
in the top tier, but far more common are people who are rich for short periods.
And who are the rich? Affluent people, compared with poor ones, tend
to have greater education and spouses who work full time. The past three
decades have seen significant increases in real earnings for people with
advanced degrees. The Bureau of Labor Statistics found that between 1979
and 2010, hourly wages for men and women with at least a college degree
rose by 33 percent and 20 percent, respectively, while they fell for all
people with less than a high school diploma — by 9 percent for women and
31 percent for men.
Also, households with two earners have seen their incomes rise. This
trend is driven in part by women’s increasing workforce participation,
which doubled from 1950 to 2005 and which began to place women in
well-paid jobs by the early 1980s.
We could reduce income inequality by trying to curtail the financial
returns of education and the number of women in the workforce — but who
would want to do that?
The real income problem in this country is not a question of who is
rich, but rather of who is poor. Among the bottom fifth of income
earners, many people, especially men, stay there their whole lives. Low
education and unwed motherhood only exacerbate poverty, which is
particularly acute among racial minorities.
Brookings Institution economist Scott Winship has argued that two-thirds of black children in
America experience a level of poverty that only 6 percent of white
children will ever see, calling it a “national tragedy.”
Income inequality has increased in this country and in practically
every European nation in recent decades. The best measure of that change
is the Gini index, named after the Italian statistician Corrado Gini,
who designed it in 1912. The index values vary between zero, when
everyone has exactly the same income, and 1, when one person has all of
the income and everybody else has none. In mid-1970s America, the index
was 0.316, but it had reached 0.378 by the late 2000s. One of the few
nations to see its Gini value fall was Greece, which went from 0.413 in
the 1970s to 0.307 in the late 2000s. So Greece seems to be reducing
income inequality — but with little to buy, riots in the streets and
economic opportunity largely limited to those partaking in corruption,
the nation is hardly a model for anyone’s economy.
Poverty in America is certainly a serious problem, but the plight of
the poor has been moderated by advances in the economy. Between 1970 and
2010, the net worth of American households more than doubled, as did the
number of television sets and air-conditioning units per home. In his
book “The Poverty of the Poverty Rate,”
Nicholas Eberstadt shows that
over the past 30 or so years, the percentage of low-income children in
the United States who are underweight has gone down, the share of
low-income households lacking complete plumbing facilities has declined,
and the area of their homes adequately heated has gone up.
The fraction
of poor households with a telephone, a television set and a clothes
dryer has risen sharply.
Historically, Americans have had an unusual attitude toward income
inequality. In 1985, political scientists Sidney Verba and Gary Orren
published a book that compared how liberals in Sweden and in the United
States viewed such inequality. By four or five to one, the Swedish
liberals were more likely than the American ones to believe that it was
important to give workers equal pay. The Swedes were three times more
likely than the Americans to favor putting a top limit on incomes. (The
Swedes get a lot of what they want: Their Gini index is 0.259, much
lower than America’s.)
Sweden has maintained a low Gini index in part by having more
progressive tax rates. If Americans wanted to follow the Swedish
example, they could. But what is the morally fair way to determine tax
rates — other than taxing everyone at the same rate? The case for
progressive tax rates is far from settled; just read Kip Hagopian’s
recent essay in Policy Review, which makes a powerful argument against
progressive taxation because it fails to take into account aptitude and
work effort.
American views about inequality have not changed much in the past
quarter-century. In their 2009 book “Class War? What Americans Really
Think About Economic Inequality,” political scientists Benjamin Page and
Lawrence Jacobs report that big majorities, including poor people, agree
that “it is ‘still possible’ to start out poor in this country, work
hard, and become rich,” and reject the view that it is the government’s
job to narrow the income gap.
More recently, a December Gallup poll
showed that 52 percent of Americans say inequality is “an acceptable
part” of the nation’s economic system, compared with 45 percent who
deemed it a “problem that needs to be fixed.” Similarly, 82 percent said
economic growth is “extremely important” or “very important,” compared
with 46 percent saying that reducing the gap between rich and poor is
extremely or very important.
Suppose we tax the rich more heavily — who would get the money, and
for what goals?
Reducing poverty, rather than inequality, is also a difficult task,
but at least the end is clearer. One new strategy for helping the poor
improve their condition is known as the “social impact bond,” which is
being tested in Britain and has been endorsed by the Obama
administration. Under this approach, private investors, including
foundations, put up money to pay for a program or initiative to help
low-income people get jobs, stay out of prison or remain in school, for
example. A government agency evaluates the results. If the program is
succeeding, the agency reimburses the investors; if not, they get no
government money.
As Harvard economist Jeffrey Liebman has pointed out, for this
system to work there must be careful measures of success and a
reasonable chance for investors to make a profit. Massachusetts is ready
to try such an effort. It may not be easy for the social impact bond
model to work consistently, but it offers one big benefit: Instead of
carping about who is rich, we would be trying to help people who are
poor.
Suppose we tax the rich more heavily — who would get the money, and for what goals?