Economist De Rugy and the IRS see a high volatility in income for
the very rich:
The data reveal that, after one year, roughly half of those who were
millionaires at some point between 1999 and 2007 remain. After the
second year, 15% or roughly 102,000 millionaires remain. This decreasing
rate of remaining millionaires persists, and only about 6% or 38,000
millionaires remain after the ninth year.
A note to emphasize.
On the high mobility of millionaires:
In contrast to popular sentiments about the rich getting richer and
poor getting poorer, this week’s chart shows that most millionaires are
not millionaires for long. In other words, the majority of people in the
top 0.17% of the income distribution (millionaires) also face
substantial downward income mobility over time.
This week, Mercatus Center Research Fellow Veronique de Rugy
examines the income dynamics of taxpayers with millionaire status using
data calculated by the
Tax Foundation
that followed the same
Internal Revenue Service (IRS) tax returns from 1999 through 2007.
The data represent 675,000 taxpayers who were millionaires at some point
during this period; this number serves as the benchmark for the
percentages of millionaires who remain millionaires.
The data reveal that, after one year, roughly half of those who were
millionaires at some point between 1999 and 2007 remain. After the
second year, 15% or roughly 102,000 millionaires remain. This decreasing
rate of remaining millionaires persists, and only about 6% or 38,000
millionaires remain after the ninth year.
One of the primary catalysts for the Occupy Wall Street movements is
the idea that disparity between top earners and everybody else is
widening. However, economic mobility and transiency of the millionaire
income group is high. Many top earners are likely to lose their
membership in the millionaire’s club.
Dr. de Rugy
charts the share of income taxes paid by millionaires in a Mercatus
Center publication.
From the IRS:
Link
This analysis of the FPDD has shown that mean income for the
wealthiest U.S. decedents in the years prior to death places them above
the 95th percentile in the overall U.S. distribution of income.
However, the data also show that the incomes reported for these
individuals can be quite volatile in the years leading up to death.
This
volatility seems to increase for joint filers and is likely due to
market fluctuations, as well as the tax-planning and spending needs of
these decedents. For these individuals, income is composed primarily of taxable and nontaxable investment income and
capital gains income, with wage income, non-corporate business income,
and taxable Social Security, pension, and annuity income having a
smaller share in the total.
Jefferson once said: "Eternal vigilance is the price of freedom."